Drop Rates
Drop rates are confirmed by Valve. Individual item probabilities are calculated by dividing the tier chance equally among items in that tier. Learn more
Items
USP-S
Kill Confirmed
M4A1-S
Golden Coil
AK-47
Frontside Misty
SSG 08
Big Iron
G3SG1
Flux
Galil AR
Stone Cold
P250
Wingshot
MP7
Special Delivery
M249
Nebula Crusader
Glock-18
Wraiths
Dual Berettas
Dualing Dragons
FAMAS
Survivor Z
XM1014
Scumbria
MAC-10
Rangeen
SCAR-20
Green Marine
MAG-7
Cobalt Core
Special Items
★ Shadow Daggers
Night
★ Shadow Daggers
Crimson Web
★ Shadow Daggers
Forest DDPAT
★ Shadow Daggers
Scorched
★ Shadow Daggers
Fade
★ Shadow Daggers
Blue Steel
★ Shadow Daggers
Stained
★ Shadow Daggers
Case Hardened
★ Shadow Daggers
Slaughter
★ Shadow Daggers
Urban Masked
★ Shadow Daggers
Safari Mesh
★ Shadow Daggers
Boreal Forest
★ Shadow Daggers
About the Shadow Case
The Shadow Case is a CS2 weapon case released in Sep 2015. It contains 29 weapon skins across 5 rarity tiers, plus a rare special pool of knives and gloves. Each opening costs the case price plus a $2.49 key.
Mil-Spec Grade items drop 79.9% of the time. Special items are the rarest at 0.26% — roughly 1 in 385. StatTrak versions have a 10% chance on each drop.
Notable drops include ★ Shadow Daggers | Night ($4,086), ★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web ($1,000), and USP-S | Kill Confirmed ($998.00).
Drop Rates
5 rarity tiers, ranging from Mil-Spec Grade (79.9%) down to Special (0.26%).
- Mil-Spec Grade79.9%
- Restricted16.0%
- Classified3.20%
- Covert0.64%
- Special0.26%
Each item within a rarity tier has an equal chance of dropping.
Simulate This Weapon Case
Unbox the Shadow Case for free in our CS2 case simulator. No Steam account or real money needed.
Classic mode plays the reel animation with an optional auto-open toggle for continuous openings. Bulk mode can simulate up to millions of openings at once with a results heatmap.
Calculate Your Unboxing Cost
Each Shadow Case needs a $2.49 key on top of the case price. Use the case calculator to set a quantity, see the total in 160+ currencies, and send your plan to the simulator.
