Drop Rates
Drop rates are confirmed by Valve. Individual item probabilities are calculated by dividing the tier chance equally among items in that tier. Learn more
Items
M4A1-S
Player Two
Glock-18
Bullet Queen
MAG-7
Justice
MAC-10
Disco Tech
AK-47
Phantom Disruptor
P2000
Acid Etched
SSG 08
Fever Dream
SG 553
Darkwing
Sawed-Off
Apocalypto
SCAR-20
Enforcer
AWP
Capillary
Desert Eagle
Blue Ply
CZ75-Auto
Distressed
MP5-SD
Desert Strike
AUG
Tom Cat
Negev
Prototype
R8 Revolver
Bone Forged
Special Items
★ Talon Knife
Doppler Black Pearl
Black Pearl★ Talon Knife
Doppler Sapphire
Sapphire★ Talon Knife
Doppler Ruby
Ruby★ Stiletto Knife
Doppler Ruby
Ruby★ Stiletto Knife
Doppler Black Pearl
Black Pearl★ Ursus Knife
Doppler Ruby
Ruby★ Talon Knife
Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2★ Talon Knife
Ultraviolet
★ Ursus Knife
Doppler Black Pearl
Black Pearl★ Stiletto Knife
Doppler Sapphire
Sapphire★ Talon Knife
Marble Fade
★ Talon Knife
Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4★ Talon Knife
Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1★ Talon Knife
Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3★ Talon Knife
Tiger Tooth
★ Stiletto Knife
Ultraviolet
★ Ursus Knife
Ultraviolet
★ Talon Knife
Damascus Steel
★ Stiletto Knife
Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3★ Stiletto Knife
Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2★ Stiletto Knife
Marble Fade
★ Stiletto Knife
Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4★ Ursus Knife
Doppler Sapphire
Sapphire★ Stiletto Knife
Tiger Tooth
★ Stiletto Knife
Damascus Steel
★ Talon Knife
Rust Coat
★ Stiletto Knife
Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1★ Talon Knife
★ Navaja Knife
Doppler Ruby
Ruby★ Navaja Knife
Doppler Black Pearl
Black Pearl★ Ursus Knife
Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4★ Ursus Knife
Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1★ Ursus Knife
Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2★ Navaja Knife
Ultraviolet
★ Ursus Knife
Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3★ Navaja Knife
Doppler Sapphire
Sapphire★ Ursus Knife
Marble Fade
★ Stiletto Knife
★ Ursus Knife
Tiger Tooth
★ Navaja Knife
Tiger Tooth
★ Navaja Knife
Marble Fade
★ Stiletto Knife
Rust Coat
★ Navaja Knife
Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1★ Ursus Knife
Damascus Steel
★ Navaja Knife
Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2★ Navaja Knife
Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4★ Ursus Knife
Rust Coat
★ Navaja Knife
Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3★ Ursus Knife
★ Navaja Knife
Damascus Steel
★ Navaja Knife
Rust Coat
★ Navaja Knife
★ Talon Knife
Doppler Black Pearl
Black Pearl★ Stiletto Knife
Doppler Black Pearl
Black Pearl★ Ursus Knife
Doppler Black Pearl
Black Pearl★ Navaja Knife
Doppler Black Pearl
Black Pearl★ Talon Knife
Doppler Sapphire
Sapphire★ Stiletto Knife
Doppler Sapphire
Sapphire★ Ursus Knife
Doppler Sapphire
Sapphire★ Navaja Knife
Doppler Sapphire
Sapphire★ Talon Knife
Doppler Ruby
Ruby★ Stiletto Knife
Doppler Ruby
Ruby★ Ursus Knife
Doppler Ruby
Ruby★ Navaja Knife
Doppler Ruby
Ruby★ Talon Knife
Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2★ Stiletto Knife
Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2★ Ursus Knife
Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2★ Navaja Knife
Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2★ Talon Knife
Ultraviolet
★ Stiletto Knife
Ultraviolet
★ Ursus Knife
Ultraviolet
★ Navaja Knife
Ultraviolet
★ Talon Knife
Marble Fade
★ Stiletto Knife
Marble Fade
★ Ursus Knife
Marble Fade
★ Navaja Knife
Marble Fade
★ Talon Knife
Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4★ Stiletto Knife
Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4★ Ursus Knife
Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4★ Navaja Knife
Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4★ Talon Knife
Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1★ Stiletto Knife
Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1★ Ursus Knife
Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1★ Navaja Knife
Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1★ Talon Knife
Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3★ Stiletto Knife
Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3★ Ursus Knife
Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3★ Navaja Knife
Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3★ Talon Knife
Tiger Tooth
★ Stiletto Knife
Tiger Tooth
★ Ursus Knife
Tiger Tooth
★ Navaja Knife
Tiger Tooth
★ Talon Knife
Damascus Steel
★ Stiletto Knife
Damascus Steel
★ Ursus Knife
Damascus Steel
★ Navaja Knife
Damascus Steel
★ Talon Knife
Rust Coat
★ Stiletto Knife
Rust Coat
★ Ursus Knife
Rust Coat
★ Navaja Knife
Rust Coat
★ Talon Knife
★ Stiletto Knife
★ Ursus Knife
★ Navaja Knife
About the Prisma 2 Case
The Prisma 2 Case is a CS2 weapon case released in Mar 2020. It contains 69 weapon skins across 5 rarity tiers, plus a rare special pool of knives and gloves. Each opening costs the case price plus a $2.49 key.
Mil-Spec Grade items drop 79.9% of the time. Special items are the rarest at 0.26% — roughly 1 in 385. StatTrak versions have a 10% chance on each drop.
Notable drops include ★ Talon Knife | Doppler Black Pearl ($29,529), ★ Talon Knife | Doppler Sapphire ($3,494), and ★ Talon Knife | Doppler Ruby ($3,000).
Drop Rates
5 rarity tiers, ranging from Mil-Spec Grade (79.9%) down to Special (0.26%).
- Mil-Spec Grade79.9%
- Restricted16.0%
- Classified3.20%
- Covert0.64%
- Special0.26%
Each item within a rarity tier has an equal chance of dropping.
Simulate This Weapon Case
Unbox the Prisma 2 Case for free in our CS2 case simulator. No Steam account or real money needed.
Classic mode plays the reel animation with an optional auto-open toggle for continuous openings. Bulk mode can simulate up to millions of openings at once with a results heatmap.
Calculate Your Unboxing Cost
Each Prisma 2 Case needs a $2.49 key on top of the case price. Use the case calculator to set a quantity, see the total in 160+ currencies, and send your plan to the simulator.


