Drop Rates
Drop rates are confirmed by Valve. Individual item probabilities are calculated by dividing the tier chance equally among items in that tier. Learn more
Items
AK-47
Fuel Injector
M4A4
The Battlestar
AWP
Elite Build
Desert Eagle
Kumicho Dragon
Nova
Hyper Beast
Glock-18
Royal Legion
FAMAS
Valence
MP7
Impire
Five-SeveN
Triumvirate
MAG-7
Praetorian
USP-S
Lead Conduit
Tec-9
Jambiya
SSG 08
Necropos
Dual Berettas
Cartel
PP-Bizon
Photic Zone
MAC-10
Lapis Gator
Special Items
About the Operation Wildfire Case
The Operation Wildfire Case is a CS2 weapon case released in Jan 2016. It contains 29 weapon skins across 5 rarity tiers, plus a rare special pool of knives and gloves. Each opening costs the case price plus a $2.49 key.
Mil-Spec Grade items drop 79.9% of the time. Special items are the rarest at 0.26% — roughly 1 in 385. StatTrak versions have a 10% chance on each drop.
Notable drops include ★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened ($2,482), ★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web ($1,888), and AK-47 | Fuel Injector ($1,574).
Drop Rates
5 rarity tiers, ranging from Mil-Spec Grade (79.9%) down to Special (0.26%).
- Mil-Spec Grade79.9%
- Restricted16.0%
- Classified3.20%
- Covert0.64%
- Special0.26%
Each item within a rarity tier has an equal chance of dropping.
Simulate This Weapon Case
Unbox the Operation Wildfire Case for free in our CS2 case simulator. No Steam account or real money needed.
Classic mode plays the reel animation with an optional auto-open toggle for continuous openings. Bulk mode can simulate up to millions of openings at once with a results heatmap.
Calculate Your Unboxing Cost
Each Operation Wildfire Case needs a $2.49 key on top of the case price. Use the case calculator to set a quantity, see the total in 160+ currencies, and send your plan to the simulator.
