Drop Rates
Drop rates are confirmed by Valve. Individual item probabilities are calculated by dividing the tier chance equally among items in that tier. Learn more
Items
AK-47
Aquamarine Revenge
AWP
Hyper Beast
SG 553
Cyrex
CZ75-Auto
Yellow Jacket
MP7
Nemesis
P2000
Handgun
Negev
Loudmouth
FAMAS
Neural Net
M4A4
Evil Daimyo
MP9
Ruby Poison Dart
Galil AR
Rocket Pop
Glock-18
Bunsen Burner
P90
Elite Build
USP-S
Torque
Nova
Ranger
UMP-45
Riot
Special Items
★ Falchion Knife
Crimson Web
★ Falchion Knife
Fade
★ Falchion Knife
Night
★ Falchion Knife
Slaughter
★ Falchion Knife
Case Hardened
★ Falchion Knife
Blue Steel
★ Falchion Knife
Scorched
★ Falchion Knife
Stained
★ Falchion Knife
Boreal Forest
★ Falchion Knife
Urban Masked
★ Falchion Knife
Forest DDPAT
★ Falchion Knife
★ Falchion Knife
Safari Mesh
About the Falchion Case
The Falchion Case is a CS2 weapon case released in Apr 2015. It contains 29 weapon skins across 5 rarity tiers, plus a rare special pool of knives and gloves. Each opening costs the case price plus a $2.49 key.
Mil-Spec Grade items drop 79.9% of the time. Special items are the rarest at 0.26% — roughly 1 in 385. StatTrak versions have a 10% chance on each drop.
Notable drops include ★ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web ($19,700), ★ Falchion Knife | Fade ($660.00), and ★ Falchion Knife | Night ($660.00).
Drop Rates
5 rarity tiers, ranging from Mil-Spec Grade (79.9%) down to Special (0.26%).
- Mil-Spec Grade79.9%
- Restricted16.0%
- Classified3.20%
- Covert0.64%
- Special0.26%
Each item within a rarity tier has an equal chance of dropping.
Simulate This Weapon Case
Unbox the Falchion Case for free in our CS2 case simulator. No Steam account or real money needed.
Classic mode plays the reel animation with an optional auto-open toggle for continuous openings. Bulk mode can simulate up to millions of openings at once with a results heatmap.
Calculate Your Unboxing Cost
Each Falchion Case needs a $2.49 key on top of the case price. Use the case calculator to set a quantity, see the total in 160+ currencies, and send your plan to the simulator.


