Drop Rates
Drop rates are confirmed by Valve. Individual item probabilities are calculated by dividing the tier chance equally among items in that tier. Learn more
Steam
Items
AK-47
Nightwish
MP9
Starlight Protector
FAMAS
Rapid Eye Movement
Dual Berettas
Melondrama
MP7
Abyssal Apparition
USP-S
Ticket to Hell
M4A1-S
Night Terror
G3SG1
Dream Glade
PP-Bizon
Space Cat
XM1014
Zombie Offensive
Five-SeveN
Scrawl
P2000
Lifted Spirits
MAC-10
Ensnared
MP5-SD
Necro Jr.
Sawed-Off
Spirit Board
MAG-7
Foresight
SCAR-20
Poultrygeist
Special Items
★ Butterfly Knife
Gamma Doppler Emerald
Emerald
★ Butterfly Knife
Gamma Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4
★ Butterfly Knife
Lore
★ Butterfly Knife
Gamma Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2
★ Butterfly Knife
Gamma Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1
★ Butterfly Knife
Autotronic
★ Butterfly Knife
Gamma Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3
★ Butterfly Knife
Black Laminate
★ Butterfly Knife
Freehand
★ Huntsman Knife
Gamma Doppler Emerald
Emerald
★ Butterfly Knife
Bright Water
★ Bowie Knife
Gamma Doppler Emerald
Emerald
★ Shadow Daggers
Gamma Doppler Emerald
Emerald
★ Bowie Knife
Gamma Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4
★ Falchion Knife
Gamma Doppler Emerald
Emerald
★ Huntsman Knife
Gamma Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3
★ Bowie Knife
Bright Water
★ Huntsman Knife
Autotronic
★ Huntsman Knife
Black Laminate
★ Falchion Knife
Gamma Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3
★ Falchion Knife
Gamma Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2
★ Bowie Knife
Lore
★ Bowie Knife
Gamma Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3
★ Bowie Knife
Gamma Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2
★ Falchion Knife
Gamma Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1
★ Bowie Knife
Gamma Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1
★ Falchion Knife
Gamma Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4
★ Huntsman Knife
Gamma Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1
★ Shadow Daggers
Lore
★ Huntsman Knife
Gamma Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2
★ Falchion Knife
Autotronic
★ Bowie Knife
Autotronic
★ Huntsman Knife
Gamma Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4
★ Huntsman Knife
Lore
★ Huntsman Knife
Freehand
★ Bowie Knife
Freehand
★ Falchion Knife
Lore
★ Shadow Daggers
Black Laminate
★ Falchion Knife
Bright Water
★ Falchion Knife
Black Laminate
★ Shadow Daggers
Gamma Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3
★ Shadow Daggers
Autotronic
★ Shadow Daggers
Gamma Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4
★ Bowie Knife
Black Laminate
★ Shadow Daggers
Gamma Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1
★ Falchion Knife
Freehand
★ Shadow Daggers
Gamma Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2
★ Shadow Daggers
Freehand
★ Huntsman Knife
Bright Water
★ Shadow Daggers
Bright Water
★ Butterfly Knife
Gamma Doppler Emerald
Emerald★ Huntsman Knife
Gamma Doppler Emerald
Emerald★ Bowie Knife
Gamma Doppler Emerald
Emerald★ Shadow Daggers
Gamma Doppler Emerald
Emerald★ Falchion Knife
Gamma Doppler Emerald
Emerald★ Butterfly Knife
Gamma Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4★ Huntsman Knife
Gamma Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4★ Bowie Knife
Gamma Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4★ Shadow Daggers
Gamma Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4★ Falchion Knife
Gamma Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4★ Butterfly Knife
Lore
★ Huntsman Knife
Lore
★ Bowie Knife
Lore
★ Shadow Daggers
Lore
★ Falchion Knife
Lore
★ Butterfly Knife
Gamma Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2★ Huntsman Knife
Gamma Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2★ Bowie Knife
Gamma Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2★ Shadow Daggers
Gamma Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2★ Falchion Knife
Gamma Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2★ Butterfly Knife
Gamma Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1★ Huntsman Knife
Gamma Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1★ Bowie Knife
Gamma Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1★ Shadow Daggers
Gamma Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1★ Falchion Knife
Gamma Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1★ Butterfly Knife
Autotronic
★ Huntsman Knife
Autotronic
★ Bowie Knife
Autotronic
★ Shadow Daggers
Autotronic
★ Falchion Knife
Autotronic
★ Butterfly Knife
Gamma Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3★ Huntsman Knife
Gamma Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3★ Bowie Knife
Gamma Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3★ Shadow Daggers
Gamma Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3★ Falchion Knife
Gamma Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3★ Butterfly Knife
Black Laminate
★ Huntsman Knife
Black Laminate
★ Bowie Knife
Black Laminate
★ Shadow Daggers
Black Laminate
★ Falchion Knife
Black Laminate
★ Butterfly Knife
Freehand
★ Huntsman Knife
Freehand
★ Bowie Knife
Freehand
★ Shadow Daggers
Freehand
★ Falchion Knife
Freehand
★ Butterfly Knife
Bright Water
★ Huntsman Knife
Bright Water
★ Bowie Knife
Bright Water
★ Shadow Daggers
Bright Water
★ Falchion Knife
Bright Water
About the Dreams & Nightmares Case
The Dreams & Nightmares Case is a CS2 weapon case released in Nov 2021. It contains 67 weapon skins across 5 rarity tiers, plus a rare special pool of knives and gloves. Each opening costs the case price plus a $2.49 key.
Mil-Spec Grade items drop 79.9% of the time. Special items are the rarest at 0.26% — roughly 1 in 385. StatTrak versions have a 10% chance on each drop.
Notable drops include ★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler Emerald ($7,680), ★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler Phase 4 ($3,273), and ★ Butterfly Knife | Lore ($2,788).
Drop Rates
5 rarity tiers, ranging from Mil-Spec Grade (79.9%) down to Special (0.26%).
- Mil-Spec Grade79.9%
- Restricted16.0%
- Classified3.20%
- Covert0.64%
- Special0.26%
Each item within a rarity tier has an equal chance of dropping.
Simulate This Weapon Case
Unbox the Dreams & Nightmares Case for free in our CS2 case simulator. No Steam account or real money needed.
Classic mode plays the reel animation with an optional auto-open toggle for continuous openings. Bulk mode can simulate up to millions of openings at once with a results heatmap.
Calculate Your Unboxing Cost
Each Dreams & Nightmares Case needs a $2.49 key on top of the case price. Use the case calculator to set a quantity, see the total in 160+ currencies, and send your plan to the simulator.