Drop Rates
Drop rates are confirmed by Valve. Individual item probabilities are calculated by dividing the tier chance equally among items in that tier. Learn more
Items
CZ75-Auto
Victoria
CZ75-Auto
The Fuschia Is Now
P250
Undertow
Desert Eagle
Heirloom
Five-SeveN
Copper Galaxy
Tec-9
Titanium Bit
CZ75-Auto
Tread Plate
Glock-18
Blue Fissure
USP-S
Stainless
CZ75-Auto
Crimson Web
P2000
Red FragCam
Dual Berettas
Panther
Special Items
★ M9 Bayonet
Crimson Web
★ Karambit
Crimson Web
★ Karambit
Boreal Forest
★ Karambit
Case Hardened
★ M9 Bayonet
Boreal Forest
★ Karambit
Stained
★ Karambit
Blue Steel
★ Karambit
Fade
★ Gut Knife
Safari Mesh
★ M9 Bayonet
Case Hardened
★ Bayonet
Crimson Web
★ Karambit
Night
★ Flip Knife
Forest DDPAT
★ Karambit
Safari Mesh
★ Flip Knife
Urban Masked
★ Karambit
★ Karambit
Slaughter
★ M9 Bayonet
Fade
★ M9 Bayonet
Slaughter
★ Flip Knife
Crimson Web
★ M9 Bayonet
★ M9 Bayonet
Scorched
★ M9 Bayonet
Safari Mesh
★ M9 Bayonet
Blue Steel
★ M9 Bayonet
Night
★ Bayonet
Blue Steel
★ Gut Knife
Crimson Web
★ Karambit
Scorched
★ Karambit
Urban Masked
★ Bayonet
Boreal Forest
★ Karambit
Forest DDPAT
★ M9 Bayonet
Urban Masked
★ M9 Bayonet
Stained
★ Bayonet
Night
★ Bayonet
Case Hardened
★ Bayonet
Fade
★ Bayonet
Urban Masked
★ Flip Knife
Safari Mesh
★ Bayonet
Slaughter
★ M9 Bayonet
Forest DDPAT
★ Bayonet
Forest DDPAT
★ Bayonet
Safari Mesh
★ Bayonet
Stained
★ Flip Knife
Night
★ Gut Knife
Scorched
★ Gut Knife
Night
★ Flip Knife
Slaughter
★ Flip Knife
Fade
★ Flip Knife
Case Hardened
★ Flip Knife
Stained
★ Flip Knife
Blue Steel
★ Gut Knife
Boreal Forest
★ Flip Knife
Boreal Forest
★ Gut Knife
Stained
★ Bayonet
★ Gut Knife
Urban Masked
★ Gut Knife
Case Hardened
★ Gut Knife
Blue Steel
★ Flip Knife
Scorched
★ Bayonet
Scorched
★ Gut Knife
Forest DDPAT
★ Flip Knife
★ Gut Knife
Slaughter
★ Gut Knife
Fade
★ Gut Knife
★ M9 Bayonet
Crimson Web
★ Karambit
Crimson Web
★ Gut Knife
Crimson Web
★ Bayonet
Crimson Web
★ Flip Knife
Crimson Web
★ M9 Bayonet
Boreal Forest
★ Karambit
Boreal Forest
★ Gut Knife
Boreal Forest
★ Bayonet
Boreal Forest
★ Flip Knife
Boreal Forest
★ M9 Bayonet
Case Hardened
★ Karambit
Case Hardened
★ Gut Knife
Case Hardened
★ Bayonet
Case Hardened
★ Flip Knife
Case Hardened
★ M9 Bayonet
Stained
★ Karambit
Stained
★ Gut Knife
Stained
★ Bayonet
Stained
★ Flip Knife
Stained
★ M9 Bayonet
Blue Steel
★ Karambit
Blue Steel
★ Gut Knife
Blue Steel
★ Bayonet
Blue Steel
★ Flip Knife
Blue Steel
★ M9 Bayonet
Fade
★ Karambit
Fade
★ Gut Knife
Fade
★ Bayonet
Fade
★ Flip Knife
Fade
★ M9 Bayonet
Safari Mesh
★ Karambit
Safari Mesh
★ Gut Knife
Safari Mesh
★ Bayonet
Safari Mesh
★ Flip Knife
Safari Mesh
★ M9 Bayonet
Night
★ Karambit
Night
★ Gut Knife
Night
★ Bayonet
Night
★ Flip Knife
Night
★ M9 Bayonet
Forest DDPAT
★ Karambit
Forest DDPAT
★ Gut Knife
Forest DDPAT
★ Bayonet
Forest DDPAT
★ Flip Knife
Forest DDPAT
★ M9 Bayonet
Urban Masked
★ Karambit
Urban Masked
★ Gut Knife
Urban Masked
★ Bayonet
Urban Masked
★ Flip Knife
Urban Masked
★ M9 Bayonet
★ Karambit
★ Gut Knife
★ Bayonet
★ Flip Knife
★ M9 Bayonet
Slaughter
★ Karambit
Slaughter
★ Gut Knife
Slaughter
★ Bayonet
Slaughter
★ Flip Knife
Slaughter
★ M9 Bayonet
Scorched
★ Karambit
Scorched
★ Gut Knife
Scorched
★ Bayonet
Scorched
★ Flip Knife
Scorched
About the CS:GO Weapon Case 3
The CS:GO Weapon Case 3 is a CS2 weapon case released in Sep 2013. It contains 77 weapon skins across 5 rarity tiers, plus a rare special pool of knives and gloves. Each opening costs the case price plus a $2.49 key.
Mil-Spec Grade items drop 79.9% of the time. Special items are the rarest at 0.26% — roughly 1 in 385. StatTrak versions have a 10% chance on each drop.
Notable drops include ★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web ($72,506), ★ Karambit | Crimson Web ($50,000), and ★ Karambit | Boreal Forest ($4,400).
Drop Rates
5 rarity tiers, ranging from Mil-Spec Grade (79.9%) down to Special (0.26%).
- Mil-Spec Grade79.9%
- Restricted16.0%
- Classified3.20%
- Covert0.64%
- Special0.26%
Each item within a rarity tier has an equal chance of dropping.
Simulate This Weapon Case
Unbox the CS:GO Weapon Case 3 for free in our CS2 case simulator. No Steam account or real money needed.
Classic mode plays the reel animation with an optional auto-open toggle for continuous openings. Bulk mode can simulate up to millions of openings at once with a results heatmap.
Calculate Your Unboxing Cost
Each CS:GO Weapon Case 3 needs a $2.49 key on top of the case price. Use the case calculator to set a quantity, see the total in 160+ currencies, and send your plan to the simulator.


