Drop Rates
Drop rates are confirmed by Valve. Individual item probabilities are calculated by dividing the tier chance equally among items in that tier. Learn more
Items
Galil AR
Chatterbox
AWP
Man-o'-war
M4A4
龍王 (Dragon King)
AK-47
Cartel
P250
Muertos
Desert Eagle
Naga
MAC-10
Malachite
Dual Berettas
Urban Shock
Sawed-Off
Serenity
MP9
Deadly Poison
Glock-18
Catacombs
M249
System Lock
XM1014
Quicksilver
SCAR-20
Grotto
Special Items
★ M9 Bayonet
Doppler Black Pearl
Black Pearl★ Karambit
Doppler Black Pearl
Black Pearl★ M9 Bayonet
Doppler Ruby
Ruby★ Karambit
Doppler Ruby
Ruby★ M9 Bayonet
Doppler Sapphire
Sapphire★ Karambit
Doppler Sapphire
Sapphire★ Flip Knife
Doppler Ruby
Ruby★ Flip Knife
Doppler Black Pearl
Black Pearl★ Karambit
Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2★ Bayonet
Doppler Sapphire
Sapphire★ Bayonet
Doppler Black Pearl
Black Pearl★ Bayonet
Doppler Ruby
Ruby★ Karambit
Marble Fade
★ Karambit
Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4★ Karambit
Ultraviolet
★ M9 Bayonet
Ultraviolet
★ Flip Knife
Ultraviolet
★ Karambit
Tiger Tooth
★ M9 Bayonet
Marble Fade
★ Karambit
Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3★ Karambit
Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1★ M9 Bayonet
Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2★ Karambit
Damascus Steel
★ Gut Knife
Doppler Black Pearl
Black Pearl★ M9 Bayonet
Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4★ Flip Knife
Doppler Sapphire
Sapphire★ Bayonet
Marble Fade
★ M9 Bayonet
Damascus Steel
★ M9 Bayonet
Tiger Tooth
★ M9 Bayonet
Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1★ M9 Bayonet
Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3★ Flip Knife
Marble Fade
★ Karambit
Rust Coat
★ Bayonet
Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4★ Bayonet
Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1★ Flip Knife
Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2★ Gut Knife
Ultraviolet
★ M9 Bayonet
Rust Coat
★ Bayonet
Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2★ Bayonet
Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3★ Gut Knife
Doppler Ruby
Ruby★ Bayonet
Tiger Tooth
★ Bayonet
Ultraviolet
★ Flip Knife
Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1★ Flip Knife
Tiger Tooth
★ Flip Knife
Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4★ Flip Knife
Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3★ Gut Knife
Doppler Sapphire
Sapphire★ Bayonet
Damascus Steel
★ Flip Knife
Damascus Steel
★ Gut Knife
Damascus Steel
★ Gut Knife
Marble Fade
★ Bayonet
Rust Coat
★ Flip Knife
Rust Coat
★ Gut Knife
Tiger Tooth
★ Gut Knife
Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3★ Gut Knife
Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1★ Gut Knife
Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2★ Gut Knife
Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4★ Gut Knife
Rust Coat
★ M9 Bayonet
Doppler Black Pearl
Black Pearl★ Karambit
Doppler Black Pearl
Black Pearl★ Flip Knife
Doppler Black Pearl
Black Pearl★ Bayonet
Doppler Black Pearl
Black Pearl★ Gut Knife
Doppler Black Pearl
Black Pearl★ M9 Bayonet
Doppler Ruby
Ruby★ Karambit
Doppler Ruby
Ruby★ Flip Knife
Doppler Ruby
Ruby★ Bayonet
Doppler Ruby
Ruby★ Gut Knife
Doppler Ruby
Ruby★ M9 Bayonet
Doppler Sapphire
Sapphire★ Karambit
Doppler Sapphire
Sapphire★ Flip Knife
Doppler Sapphire
Sapphire★ Bayonet
Doppler Sapphire
Sapphire★ Gut Knife
Doppler Sapphire
Sapphire★ M9 Bayonet
Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2★ Karambit
Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2★ Flip Knife
Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2★ Bayonet
Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2★ Gut Knife
Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2★ M9 Bayonet
Marble Fade
★ Karambit
Marble Fade
★ Flip Knife
Marble Fade
★ Bayonet
Marble Fade
★ Gut Knife
Marble Fade
★ M9 Bayonet
Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4★ Karambit
Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4★ Flip Knife
Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4★ Bayonet
Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4★ Gut Knife
Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4★ M9 Bayonet
Ultraviolet
★ Karambit
Ultraviolet
★ Flip Knife
Ultraviolet
★ Bayonet
Ultraviolet
★ Gut Knife
Ultraviolet
★ M9 Bayonet
Tiger Tooth
★ Karambit
Tiger Tooth
★ Flip Knife
Tiger Tooth
★ Bayonet
Tiger Tooth
★ Gut Knife
Tiger Tooth
★ M9 Bayonet
Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3★ Karambit
Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3★ Flip Knife
Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3★ Bayonet
Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3★ Gut Knife
Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3★ M9 Bayonet
Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1★ Karambit
Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1★ Flip Knife
Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1★ Bayonet
Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1★ Gut Knife
Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1★ M9 Bayonet
Damascus Steel
★ Karambit
Damascus Steel
★ Flip Knife
Damascus Steel
★ Bayonet
Damascus Steel
★ Gut Knife
Damascus Steel
★ M9 Bayonet
Rust Coat
★ Karambit
Rust Coat
★ Flip Knife
Rust Coat
★ Bayonet
Rust Coat
★ Gut Knife
Rust Coat
About the Chroma Case
The Chroma Case is a CS2 weapon case released in Jan 2015. It contains 74 weapon skins across 5 rarity tiers, plus a rare special pool of knives and gloves. Each opening costs the case price plus a $2.49 key.
Mil-Spec Grade items drop 79.9% of the time. Special items are the rarest at 0.26% — roughly 1 in 385. StatTrak versions have a 10% chance on each drop.
Notable drops include ★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler Black Pearl ($17,800), ★ Karambit | Doppler Black Pearl ($12,000), and ★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler Ruby ($9,135).
Drop Rates
5 rarity tiers, ranging from Mil-Spec Grade (79.9%) down to Special (0.26%).
- Mil-Spec Grade79.9%
- Restricted16.0%
- Classified3.20%
- Covert0.64%
- Special0.26%
Each item within a rarity tier has an equal chance of dropping.
Simulate This Weapon Case
Unbox the Chroma Case for free in our CS2 case simulator. No Steam account or real money needed.
Classic mode plays the reel animation with an optional auto-open toggle for continuous openings. Bulk mode can simulate up to millions of openings at once with a results heatmap.
Calculate Your Unboxing Cost
Each Chroma Case needs a $2.49 key on top of the case price. Use the case calculator to set a quantity, see the total in 160+ currencies, and send your plan to the simulator.


