Drop Rates
Drop rates are confirmed by Valve. Individual item probabilities are calculated by dividing the tier chance equally among items in that tier. Learn more
Items
M4A1-S
Chantico's Fire
PP-Bizon
Judgement of Anubis
P250
Asiimov
AUG
Fleet Flock
UMP-45
Primal Saber
Galil AR
Firefight
SSG 08
Ghost Crusader
CZ75-Auto
Red Astor
XM1014
Black Tie
Tec-9
Re-Entry
Sawed-Off
Fubar
P2000
Oceanic
SG 553
Atlas
MP9
Bioleak
G3SG1
Orange Crash
Dual Berettas
Ventilators
M249
Spectre
Special Items
★ M9 Bayonet
Doppler Black Pearl
Black Pearl★ Karambit
Doppler Black Pearl
Black Pearl★ M9 Bayonet
Doppler Ruby
Ruby★ Karambit
Doppler Ruby
Ruby★ M9 Bayonet
Doppler Sapphire
Sapphire★ Karambit
Doppler Sapphire
Sapphire★ Flip Knife
Doppler Ruby
Ruby★ Flip Knife
Doppler Black Pearl
Black Pearl★ Karambit
Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2★ Bayonet
Doppler Sapphire
Sapphire★ Bayonet
Doppler Black Pearl
Black Pearl★ Bayonet
Doppler Ruby
Ruby★ Karambit
Marble Fade
★ Karambit
Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4★ Karambit
Ultraviolet
★ M9 Bayonet
Ultraviolet
★ Flip Knife
Ultraviolet
★ Karambit
Tiger Tooth
★ M9 Bayonet
Marble Fade
★ Karambit
Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3★ Karambit
Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1★ M9 Bayonet
Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2★ Karambit
Damascus Steel
★ Gut Knife
Doppler Black Pearl
Black Pearl★ M9 Bayonet
Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4★ Flip Knife
Doppler Sapphire
Sapphire★ Bayonet
Marble Fade
★ M9 Bayonet
Damascus Steel
★ M9 Bayonet
Tiger Tooth
★ M9 Bayonet
Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1★ M9 Bayonet
Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3★ Flip Knife
Marble Fade
★ Karambit
Rust Coat
★ Bayonet
Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4★ Bayonet
Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1★ Flip Knife
Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2★ Gut Knife
Ultraviolet
★ M9 Bayonet
Rust Coat
★ Bayonet
Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2★ Bayonet
Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3★ Gut Knife
Doppler Ruby
Ruby★ Bayonet
Tiger Tooth
★ Bayonet
Ultraviolet
★ Flip Knife
Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1★ Flip Knife
Tiger Tooth
★ Flip Knife
Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4★ Flip Knife
Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3★ Gut Knife
Doppler Sapphire
Sapphire★ Bayonet
Damascus Steel
★ Flip Knife
Damascus Steel
★ Gut Knife
Damascus Steel
★ Gut Knife
Marble Fade
★ Bayonet
Rust Coat
★ Flip Knife
Rust Coat
★ Gut Knife
Tiger Tooth
★ Gut Knife
Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3★ Gut Knife
Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1★ Gut Knife
Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2★ Gut Knife
Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4★ Gut Knife
Rust Coat
★ M9 Bayonet
Doppler Black Pearl
Black Pearl★ Karambit
Doppler Black Pearl
Black Pearl★ Flip Knife
Doppler Black Pearl
Black Pearl★ Bayonet
Doppler Black Pearl
Black Pearl★ Gut Knife
Doppler Black Pearl
Black Pearl★ M9 Bayonet
Doppler Ruby
Ruby★ Karambit
Doppler Ruby
Ruby★ Flip Knife
Doppler Ruby
Ruby★ Bayonet
Doppler Ruby
Ruby★ Gut Knife
Doppler Ruby
Ruby★ M9 Bayonet
Doppler Sapphire
Sapphire★ Karambit
Doppler Sapphire
Sapphire★ Flip Knife
Doppler Sapphire
Sapphire★ Bayonet
Doppler Sapphire
Sapphire★ Gut Knife
Doppler Sapphire
Sapphire★ M9 Bayonet
Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2★ Karambit
Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2★ Flip Knife
Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2★ Bayonet
Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2★ Gut Knife
Doppler Phase 2
Phase 2★ M9 Bayonet
Marble Fade
★ Karambit
Marble Fade
★ Flip Knife
Marble Fade
★ Bayonet
Marble Fade
★ Gut Knife
Marble Fade
★ M9 Bayonet
Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4★ Karambit
Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4★ Flip Knife
Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4★ Bayonet
Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4★ Gut Knife
Doppler Phase 4
Phase 4★ M9 Bayonet
Ultraviolet
★ Karambit
Ultraviolet
★ Flip Knife
Ultraviolet
★ Bayonet
Ultraviolet
★ Gut Knife
Ultraviolet
★ M9 Bayonet
Tiger Tooth
★ Karambit
Tiger Tooth
★ Flip Knife
Tiger Tooth
★ Bayonet
Tiger Tooth
★ Gut Knife
Tiger Tooth
★ M9 Bayonet
Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3★ Karambit
Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3★ Flip Knife
Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3★ Bayonet
Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3★ Gut Knife
Doppler Phase 3
Phase 3★ M9 Bayonet
Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1★ Karambit
Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1★ Flip Knife
Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1★ Bayonet
Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1★ Gut Knife
Doppler Phase 1
Phase 1★ M9 Bayonet
Damascus Steel
★ Karambit
Damascus Steel
★ Flip Knife
Damascus Steel
★ Bayonet
Damascus Steel
★ Gut Knife
Damascus Steel
★ M9 Bayonet
Rust Coat
★ Karambit
Rust Coat
★ Flip Knife
Rust Coat
★ Bayonet
Rust Coat
★ Gut Knife
Rust Coat
About the Chroma 3 Case
The Chroma 3 Case is a CS2 weapon case released in Apr 2016. It contains 77 weapon skins across 5 rarity tiers, plus a rare special pool of knives and gloves. Each opening costs the case price plus a $2.49 key.
Mil-Spec Grade items drop 79.9% of the time. Special items are the rarest at 0.26% — roughly 1 in 385. StatTrak versions have a 10% chance on each drop.
Notable drops include ★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler Black Pearl ($17,800), ★ Karambit | Doppler Black Pearl ($12,000), and ★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler Ruby ($9,135).
Drop Rates
5 rarity tiers, ranging from Mil-Spec Grade (79.9%) down to Special (0.26%).
- Mil-Spec Grade79.9%
- Restricted16.0%
- Classified3.20%
- Covert0.64%
- Special0.26%
Each item within a rarity tier has an equal chance of dropping.
Simulate This Weapon Case
Unbox the Chroma 3 Case for free in our CS2 case simulator. No Steam account or real money needed.
Classic mode plays the reel animation with an optional auto-open toggle for continuous openings. Bulk mode can simulate up to millions of openings at once with a results heatmap.
Calculate Your Unboxing Cost
Each Chroma 3 Case needs a $2.49 key on top of the case price. Use the case calculator to set a quantity, see the total in 160+ currencies, and send your plan to the simulator.


